Donald Trump's Polling Losing Streak Grows as He Goes a Week Without Win

Donald Trump has not won a national poll in around a week, with Vice President Kamala Harris taking the lead in at least four of the most recent polls.

Since President Joe Biden dropped out of the race and endorsed his vice president as the Democratic candidate in the November election, Harris has been surging in a race that had seen Trump leading in the polls for some time.

By last Friday, Harris was leading in the national polling average, according to the aggregation website Race to the WH (White House), which collated 128 national polls and put Harris at 47 percent and Trump at 46.9 percent.

The polls which show Harris ahead were surveyed by poll aggregator 538 are YouGov/CBS News, RMG Research, The Economist and the Daily Kos/Civiqs.

YouGov/CBS News put Harris in the lead with 49 percent, compared with Trump's 47 percent, after questioning 3,102 registered voters between July 30 and August 2. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.1 percentage points.

RMG Research, which conducted its survey among 3,000 registered voters between July 29 and July 31, found Harris has a lead of 47 percent to Trump's 42 percent.

The Economist/YouGov has Harris at 46 percent and Trump at 44 percent, after interviewing 1,610 people, 1,434 of which were registered voters, from July 27 to July 30, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.

Daily Kos/Civiqs put Harris at 49 percent to Trump's 45 percent. Researchers surveyed 1,123 registered voters between July 27 and July 30. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Donald Trump at rally
Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump waiting on stage to speak at a campaign rally, in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. The former president has not won a national poll in about a week. AP

The last recent poll surveyed by 538 which shows Trump ahead is from a week ago, and was conducted by American Pulse Research & Polling, which had Trump at a 47 percent lead over Harris' 46 percent. It was carried out from July 26 to July 29, and some 1,035 likely voters were questioned.

A more recent poll, carried out by Rasmussen Reports between July 24 and July 31, still has Trump in the lead with 49 percent over Harris' 44 percent but 538, which is part of ABC News, dropped the firm from its reports for reportedly failing to meet its standards and being associated with "several right-leaning blogs and online media outlets."

Aggregator RealClear Polling still shows Trump in the lead, in general, with 47.7 percent over Harris' 46.9 percent. Its averages also show him in the lead in several swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Meanwhile, Harris is ahead in Michigan, New Hampshire and Minnesota.

Newsweek has contacted Trump via email, outside of normal working hours, for comment.

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About the writer

Jordan King is a Newsweek reporter based in London, U.K. Her current focus is on religion, health, food safety and population. She has covered the persecution of religions in the global south, fertility and birth rate issues around the world, multiple disease outbreaks in the U.S. and ongoing vaccination discourse. Jordan joined Newsweek in 2024 from The Evening Standard and had previously worked at Metro.co.uk, she has background in international human-interest stories and is a graduate of Kingston University, in London. You can get in touch with Jordan by emailing j.king@newsweek.com. Languages: English.


Jordan King is a Newsweek reporter based in London, U.K. Her current focus is on religion, health, food safety and ... Read more